Perfect Blackjack Odds
Someone wanting to play perfect blackjack has many avenues to explore. Players can memorize a basic strategy chart and try to achieve what some experts have called optimal strategy. Gamblers can read about which blackjack rules variations favor the player and start a hard target search of Las Vegas (or the Internet) for the perfect game of blackjack, with an expectation around 99.80%. One you’ve mastered basic strategy and you know the proper game setting for your skills, though, you’ll find yourself tantalizingly short of a positive expectation blackjack experience. At this point, you might consider blackjack played at nearly 100% expectation as perfect play, or you might search for some new advantage, like getting comps at a land-based casino or bonus offers at an online casino. Or you might look at other advantage gambling techniques like card counting.
Blackjack can be played with a single deck or 4-8 decks. Most casinos I’ve been to have single deck or use six decks. Also, some casinos require the dealer to stand with a soft 17, and some mandate the dealer to hit with a soft 17. If the dealer has to stand with a soft 17, that will give you better odds. Perfect Blackjack Strategy Charts. The house edge is a statistical way of measuring the casino’s advantage over the player. Want to play perfect blackjack and maximize your chances of winning? Of course, you do! By stringent following of a blackjack chart, you improve your odds. Online Casinos NJ online casinos SugarHouse Casino 888 Casino BetMGM Casino Unibet Casino PartyCasino Golden Nugget Casino. You can probably deduce the three types of pairs listed above are hard to hit, with the perfect pairs the hardest of all. The odds offered by the house reflect that, so should your luck come in, you will earn a handsome payout. In a six-deck game of blackjack, the usual Perfect Pair payouts are: Mixed pair 5:1; Colored pair 10:1; Perfect pair 30:1.
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Introduction
I'm aware of two side bets calling themselves Perfect Pair or Perfect Pairs. I'll divide them into a version 1 and version 2.
Version 1
Version 1 goes by the plural name Perfect Pairs. It may be found in casinos in Australia, Macau, and London. It pays if the player's first two cards are a pair. The following table shows the specifics. A 'perfect pair' is two identical cards (like two ace of spades). A 'colored pair' is two cards of the same rank and color (like the ace of spades and ace of clubs). There are four pay tables that I am aware of, which are referred to as A to D below. The following four tables show how the odds of each pay table.
Internet casinos using live dealer studios by Evolution Gaming the following pay table.
Pay Table A — 8 decks
| Hand | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect pair | 25 | 1456 | 0.016867 | 0.421687 |
| Colored pair | 12 | 1664 | 0.019277 | 0.231325 |
| Red/black pair | 6 | 3328 | 0.038554 | 0.231325 |
| Non-pair | -1 | 79872 | 0.925301 | -0.925301 |
| Total | 86320 | 1 | -0.040964 |
Pay Table B — 8 decks
Perfect Pair Blackjack Odds
| Hand | Pays | Combintions | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect pair | 30 | 1456 | 0.016867 | 0.506024 |
| Colored pair | 10 | 1664 | 0.019277 | 0.192771 |
| Red/black pair | 5 | 3328 | 0.038554 | 0.192771 |
| Non-pair | -1 | 79872 | 0.925301 | -0.925301 |
| Total | 86320 | 1 | -0.033735 |
Pay Table C — 8 decks
| Hand | Pays | Combintions | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect pair | 25 | 1456 | 0.016867 | 0.421687 |
| Colored pair | 12 | 1664 | 0.019277 | 0.231325 |
| Red/black pair | 5 | 3328 | 0.038554 | 0.192771 |
| Non-pair | -1 | 79872 | 0.925301 | -0.925301 |
| Total | 86320 | 1 | -0.079518 |
Pay Table D — 8 decks
Perfect Blackjack Odds
| Hand | Pays | Combintions | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect pair | 25 | 1456 | 0.016867 | 0.421687 |
| Colored pair | 15 | 1664 | 0.019277 | 0.289157 |
| Red/black pair | 5 | 3328 | 0.038554 | 0.192771 |
| Non-pair | -1 | 79872 | 0.925301 | -0.925301 |
| Total | 86320 | 1 | -0.021687 |
The next table shows the expected return under all four pay tables, according to the number of decks.
Perfect Pairs Expected Returns
| Decks | Pay Table A | Pay Table B | Pay Table C | Pay Table D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | -0.223301 | -0.252427 | -0.262136 | -0.203883 |
| 4 | -0.101449 | -0.106280 | -0.140097 | -0.082126 |
| 5 | -0.077220 | -0.077220 | -0.115830 | -0.057915 |
| 6 | -0.061093 | -0.057878 | -0.099678 | -0.041801 |
| 8 | -0.040964 | -0.033735 | -0.079518 | -0.021687 |
Version 2
Version 2 goes by the singular name Perfect Pair. It can be found at Internet casinos using live dealer software by Evolution Gaming. Despite the singular title, it pays for one or two Perfect Pairs. A Perfect Pair is defined by the player's or dealer's initial two cards matching in both rank and suit.
Evolution uses eight decks in the blackjack game, so I am basing this return table on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 8.05%.
Blackjack Odds Sheet
Version 2 — 8 Decks
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two perfect pairs | 200 | 2,101,008 | 0.000285 | 0.056941 |
| One perfect pair | 25 | 244,747,776 | 0.033166 | 0.829138 |
| Zero perfect pairs | -1 | 7,132,734,336 | 0.966550 | -0.966550 |
| Total | 7,379,583,120 | 1.000000 | -0.080470 |
Next, here is the house edge for 2, 4, 6, and 8 decks.
Version 2 House Edge
| Decks | House Edge |
|---|---|
| 2 | 48.08% |
| 4 | 21.50% |
| 6 | 12.54% |
| 8 | 8.05% |
There is another version of version 2 that pays 25 to 1 for one or two perfect pairs. The house edge on that, assuming eight decks, is 13.03%. This side bet is also seen in baccarat, where I have a separate page for it.
Written by: Michael Shackleford